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Patients with cirrhosis are the ones in danger of premature death from HCV. After infection with HCV for 20 years about 20% of patients have cirrhosis. After 50 years of infection, about half of HCV patients have cirrhosis. About 4% of patients with HCV cirrhosis develop liver failure each year and about 1% develop liver cancer. Cirrhotic patients therefore have about 95% chance of remaining stable each year. Once liver failure or liver cancer occurs, about half of the patients die in one or two years. Liver transplantation can be done but the list is long and patients still have an appreciable death rate. About 15% of transplanted patients die the first year and 30% die by five years. The new liver is infected with HCV and sometimes progresses to cirrhosis very quickly. Some transplant patients are cured of HCV before or after transplant, using antiviral therapy. Be sure to read my page on survival about the benefits of curing HCV in patients with cirrhosis and even those with liver failure. The HALT-C Trial Group reported their results treating patients with cirrhosis or bridging fibrosis (stage 4 or 3).
20, and 18% achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). To get into the study, you had to fail regular interferon or interferon plus ribavirin. They used Pegasys plus ribavirin. Look at the chart below, and see what is happening.
Genotype 2 patients and genotype 3 patients did not do too bad. They were treated for 48 weeks instead of the commonly used 24 weeks. Genotype 1 patients did poorly. 30% responded initially and 27% were negative at the end of treatment. Only 14% achieved sustained virologic response. The rest relapsed. Patients who failed treatment in the Halt C study were then randomized to maintenance Pegasys 90 mcg per week or no treatment. At AASLD 2007 the results were released showing no benefit from interferon treatment for nonresponders. Antiviral therapy has no measurable benefit unless the HCV is permanently eradicated. Patients with advanced fibrosis (stage 3 and 4) need longer treatment to reduce relapse. When you fall from 27% of your patients being negative to only 14% being negative, it means that nearly half of the curable patients did not get cured!!!! To reduce the relapse rate, we treat stage 3 and 4 patients for about 2 years if they have genotype one and they are responding. Cirrhosis under the microscope Normal liver under the microscope HCC 77 months after cure of HCV |